Twenty-five people at the heart of the meltdown ...
The
worst economic turmoil since the Great Depression is not a natural
phenomenon but a man-made disaster in which we all played a part.
Guardian City editor Julia Finch picks out the individuals who have
led us into the current crisis.
Alan Greenspan, chairman of US Federal Reserve 1987-
2006
Only a couple of years ago the long-serving chairman
of the Fed, a committed free marketeer who had steered the
US economy through
crises ranging from the 1987 stockmarket collapse through to the
aftermath of the 9/11 attacks, was lauded with star status, named
the "oracle" and "the maestro". Now he is
viewed as one of those most culpable for the crisis. He is blamed
for allowing the housing bubble to develop as a result of his low
interest rates and lack of regulation in mortgage lending. He
backed sub-prime lending and urged homebuyers to swap
fixed-rate mortgages for variable rate
deals, which left borrowers unable to pay when interest rates
rose.
For many years, Greenspan also defended the booming
derivatives business, which barely existed when he took over the
Fed, but which mushroomed from $100tn in 2002 to more than $500tn
five years later.
Billionaires George Soros and Warren Buffett might
have been extremely worried about these complex products - Soros
avoided them because he didn't "really understand how they
work" and Buffett famously described them as "financial
weapons of mass destruction" - but Greenspan did all he could
to protect the market from what he believed was unnecessary
regulation. In 2003 he told the Senate banking committee:
"Derivatives have been an extraordinarily useful vehicle to
transfer risk from those who shouldn't be taking it to those
who are willing to and are capable of doing so".
In recent months, however, he has admitted at least
some of his long-held beliefs have turned out to be incorrect - not
least that free markets would handle the risks involved, that too
much regulation would damage Wall Street and that, ultimately,
banks would always put the protection of their shareholders
first.
He has described the current financial crisis as
"the type ... that comes along only once in a century"
and last autumn said the fact that the banks had played fast and
loose with shareholders' equity had left him "in a state
of shocked disbelief".
Politicians
Bill Clinton, former US
president
Clinton shares at least some of the blame for the current financial
chaos. He beefed up the 1977 Community Reinvestment Act to force
mortgage lenders to relax their rules to allow more socially
disadvantaged borrowers to qualify for home loans.
In 1999 Clinton repealed the Glass-Steagall Act,
which ensured a complete separation between commercial banks, which
accept deposits, and investment banks, which invest and take risks.
The move prompted the era of the superbank and primed the sub-prime
pump. The year before the repeal sub-prime loans were just 5% of
all mortgage lending. By the time the credit crunch blew up it was approaching
30%.
Gordon Brown, prime minister
The British prime minister seems to have been completely dazzled by
the movers and shakers in the Square Mile, putting the City's
interests ahead of other parts of the economy, such as
manufacturers. He backed "light touch" regulation and a
low-tax regime for the thousands of non-domiciled foreign bankers
working in London and for the private equity business.
George W Bush, former US
president
Clinton might have started the sub-prime ball rolling, but the Bush
administration certainly did little to put the brakes on the vast
amount of mortgage cash being lent to "Ninja" (No income,
no job applicants) borrowers who could not afford them. Neither did
he rein back Wall Street with regulation (although the government
did pass the Sarbanes-Oxley Act in the wake of the Enron
scandal).
Senator Phil Gramm
Former US senator from Texas, free market advocate with a PhD in
economics who fought long and hard for financial deregulation. His
work, encouraged by Clinton's administration, allowed the
explosive growth of derivatives, including credit swaps.
In 2001, he told a Senate debate: "Some people
look at sub-prime lending and see evil. I look at sub-prime lending
and I see the American dream in action."
According to the New York Times, federal records
show that from 1989 to 2002 he was the top recipient of campaign
contributions from commercial banks and in the top five for
donations from Wall Street. At an April 2000 Senate hearing after a
visit to New York, he said: "When I am on Wall Street and I
realise that that's the very nerve centre of American
capitalism and I realise what capitalism has done for the working
people of America, to me that's a holy place."
He eventually left Capitol Hill to work for UBS as
an investment banker.
Wall Street/Bankers
Abi Cohen, Goldman Sachs chief US
strategist
The "perpetual bull". Once rated one of the most powerful
women in the US. But so wrong, so often. She failed to see previous
share price crashes and was famous for her upwards forecasts.
Replaced last March.
"Hank" Greenberg, AIG insurance
group
Now aged 83, Hank - AKA Maurice - was the boss of AIG. He built the
business into the world's biggest insurer. AIG had a vast
business in credit default swaps and therefore a huge exposure to a
residential mortgage crisis. When AIG's own credit-rating was
cut, it faced a liquidity crisis and needed an $85bn (£47bn
then) bail out from the US government to avoid collapse and avert
the crisis its collapse would have caused. It later needed many
more billions from the US treasury and the Fed, but that did not
stop senior AIG executives taking themselves off for a few lavish
trips, including a $444,000 golf and spa retreat in California and
an $86,000 hunting expedition to England. "Have you heard of
anything more outrageous?" said Elijah Cummings, a Democratic
congressman from Maryland. "They were getting their manicures,
their facials, pedicures, massages while the American people were
footing the bill."
Andy Hornby, former HBOS boss
So highly respected, so admired and so clever - top of his
800-strong class at Harvard - but it was his strategy, adopted from
the Bank of Scotland when it merged with Halifax, that got HBOS in
the trouble it is now. Who would have thought that the mighty
Halifax could be brought to its knees and teeter on the verge of
nationalisation?
Sir Fred Goodwin, former RBS
boss
Once one of Gordon Brown's favourite businessmen, now the prime
minister says he is "angry" with the man dubbed
"Fred the Shred" for his strategy at Royal Bank of
Scotland, which has left the bank staring at a £28bn loss and
70% owned by the government. The losses will reflect vast lending
to businesses that cannot repay and write-downs on acquisitions
masterminded by Goodwin stretching back years.
Steve Crawshaw, former B&B
boss
Once upon a time Bradford & Bingley was a rather boring
building society, which used two men in bowler hats to signify
their sensible and trustworthy approach. In 2004 the affable
Crawshaw took over. He closed down B&B businesses, cut staff
numbers by half and turned the B&B into a specialist in
buy-to-let loans and self-certified mortgages - also called
"liar loans" because applicants did not have to prove a
regular income. The business broke down when the wholesale money
market collapsed and B&B's borrowers fell quickly into
debt. Crawshaw denied a rights issue was on its way weeks before he
asked shareholders for £300m. Eventually, B&B had to be
nationalised. Crawshaw, however, had left the bridge a few weeks
earlier as a result of heart problems. He has a £1.8m pension
pot.
Adam Applegarth, former Northern Rock
boss
Applegarth had such big ambitions. But the business model just
collapsed when the credit crunch hit. Luckily for Applegarth, he
walked away with a wheelbarrow of cash to ease the pain of his
failure, and spent the summer playing cricket.
Ralph Cioffi and Matthew
Tannin
Cioffi (pictured) and Tanninn were Bear Stearns bankers recently
indicted for fraud over the collapse of two hedge funds last year,
which was one of the triggers of the credit crunch. They are
accused of lying to investors about the amount of money they were
putting into sub-prime, and of quietly withdrawing their own funds
when times got tough.
Lewis Ranieri
The "godfather" of mortgage finance, who pioneered
mortgage-backed bonds in the 1980s and immortalised in Liar's
Poker. Famous for saying that "mortgages are math",
Ranieri created collateralised pools of mortgages. In 2004 Business
Week ranked him alongside names such as Bill Gates and Steve Jobs
as one of the greatest innovators of the past 75 years.
Ranieri did warn in 2006 of the risks from the
breakneck growth of mortgage securitisation. Nevertheless, his
Texas-based Franklin Bank Corp went bust in November due to the
credit crunch.
Joseph Cassano, AIG Financial
Products
Cassano ran the AIG team that sold credit default swaps in London,
and in effect bankrupted the world's biggest insurance company,
forcing the US government to stump up billions in aid. Cassano, who
lives in a townhouse near Harrods in Knightsbridge, earned 30 cents
for every dollar of profit his financial products generated - or
about £280m. He was fired after the division lost $11bn, but
stayed on as a $1m-a-month consultant. "It seems he
single-handedly brought AIG to its knees," said John Sarbanes,
a Democratic congressman.
Chuck Prince, former Citi boss
A lawyer by training, Prince had built Citi into the biggest bank
in the world, with a sprawling structure that covered investment
banking, high-street banking and wealthy management for the richest
clients. When profits went into reverse in 2007, he insisted it was
just a hiccup, but he was forced out after multibillion-dollar
losses on sub-prime business started to surface. He received about
$140m to ease his pain .
Angelo Mozilo, Countrywide
Financial
Known as "the orange one" for his luminous tan, Mozilo
was the chairman and chief executive of the biggest American
sub-prime mortgage lender, which was saved from bankruptcy by Bank
of America. BoA recently paid billions to settle investigations by
various attorney generals for Countrywide's mis-selling of
risky loans to thousands who could not afford them. The company ran
a "VIP programme" that provided loans on favourable terms
to influential figures including Christopher Dodd, chairman of the
Senate banking committee, the heads of the federal-backed mortgage
lenders Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, and former assistant secretary
of state Richard Holbrooke.
Stan O'Neal, former boss of Merrill
Lynch
O'Neal became one of the highest-profile casualties of the
credit crunch when he lost the confidence of the bank's board
in late 2007. When he was appointed to the top job four years
earlier, O'Neal, the first African-American to run a Wall
Street firm, had pledged to shed the bank's conservative image.
Shortly before he quit, the bank admitted to nearly $8bn of
exposure to bad debts, as bets in the property and credit markets
turned sour. Merrill was forced into the arms of Bank of America
less than a year later.
Jimmy Cayne, former Bear Stearns
boss
The chairman of the Wall Street firm Bear Stearns famously
continued to play in a bridge tournament in Detroit even as the
firm fell into crisis. Confidence in the bank evaporated after the
collapse of two of its hedge funds and massive write-downs from
losses related to the home loans industry. It was bought for a
knock down price by JP Morgan Chase in March. Cayne sold his stake
in the firm after the JP Morgan bid emerged, making $60m. Such was
the anger directed towards Cayne that the US media reported that he
had been forced to hire a bodyguard. A one-time scrap-iron
salesman, Cayne joined Bear Stearns in 1969 and became one of the
firm's top brokers, taking over as chief executive in 1993.
Others
Christopher Dodd, chairman, Senate banking
committee (Democrat)
Consistently resisted efforts to tighten regulation on the mortgage
finance firms Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac. He pushed to broaden
their role to dodgier mortgages in an effort to help home ownership
for the poor. Received $165,000 in donations from Fannie and
Freddie from 1989 to 2008, more than anyone else in Congress.
Geir Haarde, Icelandic prime
minister
He announced on Friday that he would step down and call an early
election in May, after violent anti-government protests fuelled by
his handling of the financial crisis. Last October Iceland's
three biggest commercial banks collapsed under billions of dollars
of debts. The country was forced to borrow $2.1bn from the
International Monetary Fund and take loans from several European
countries. Announcing his resignation, Haarde said he had throat
cancer.
The American public
There's no escaping the fact: politicians might have teed up
the financial system and failed to police it properly and Wall
Street's greedy bankers might have got carried away with the
riches they could generate, but if millions of Americans had just
realised they were borrowing more than they could repay then we
would not be in this mess. The British public got just as carried
away. We are the credit junkies of Europe and many of our problems
could easily have been avoided if we had been more sensible and
just said no.
Mervyn King, governor of the Bank of
England
When Mervyn King settled his feet under the desk in his
Threadneedle Street office, the UK economy was motoring along just
nicely: GDP was growing at 3% and inflation was just 1.3%. Chairing
his first meeting of the Bank's monetary policy committee
(MPC), interest rates were cut to a post-war low of 3.5%. His
ambition was that monetary policy decision-making should become
"boring".
How we would all like it to become boring now. When
the crunch first took hold, the Aston Villa-supporting governor
insisted it was not about to become an international crisis. In the
first weeks of the crunch he refused to pump cash into the
financial system and insisted that "moral hazard" meant
that some banks should not be bailed out. The Treasury select
committee has said King should have been "more
pro-active".
King's MPC should have realised there was a
housing bubble developing and taken action to damp it down and,
more recently, the committee should have seen the recession coming and cut interest rates far
faster than it did.
John Tiner, FSA chief executive,
2003-07
No one can fault 51-year-old Tiner's timing: the financial
services expert took over as the City's chief regulator in
2003, just as the bear market which followed the dotcom crash came
to an end, and stepped down from the Financial Services Authority
in July 2007 - just a few weeks before the credit crunch took
hold.
He presided over the FSA when the so-called
"light touch" regulation was put in place. It was Tiner
who agreed that banks could make up their own minds about how much
capital they needed to hoard to cover their risks. And it was on
his watch that Northern Rock got so carried away with the wholesale
money markets and 130% mortgages. When the FSA finally got around
to investigating its own part in the Rock's downfall, it was a
catalogue of errors and omissions. In short, the FSA had been
asleep at the wheel while Northern Rock racked up ever bigger
risks.
An accountant by training, with a penchant for
Porsches and proud owner of the personalised number plate T1NER,
the former FSA boss has since been recruited by the financial
entrepreneur Clive Cowdery to run a newly floated business that
aims to buy up financial businesses laid low by the credit crunch.
Tiner will be chief executive but, unusually, will not be on the
board, so his pay and bonuses will not be made public.
Dick Fuld, Lehman Brothers chief
executive
The credit crunch had been rumbling on for more than a year but
Lehman Brothers' collapse in September was to have a
catastrophic impact on confidence. Richard Fuld, chief executive,
later told Congress he was bewildered the US government had not
saved the bank when it had helped secure Bear Stearns and the
insurer AIG. He also blamed short-sellers. Bitter workers at Lehman
pointed the finger at Fuld.
A former bond trader known as "the
Gorilla", Fuld had been with Lehman for decades and steered it
through tough times. But just before the bank went bust he had
failed to secure a deal to sell a large stake to the Korea
Development Bank and most likely prevent its collapse. Fuld
encouraged risk-taking and Lehman was still investing heavily in
property at the top of the market. Facing a grilling on Capitol
Hill, he was asked whether it was fair that he earned $500m over
eight years. He demurred; the figure, he said, was closer to
$300m.
... and six more who saw it coming
Andrew Lahde
A hedge fund boss who quit the industry in October thanking
"stupid" traders and "idiots" for making him
rich. He made millions by betting against sub-prime.
John Paulson, hedge fund boss
He has been described as the "world's biggest winner"
from the credit crunch, earning $3.7bn (£1.9bn) in 2007 by
"shorting" the US mortgage market - betting that the
housing bubble was about to burst. In an apparent response to
criticism that he was profiting from misery, Paulson gave $15m to a
charity aiding people fighting foreclosure.
Professor Nouriel Roubini
Described by the New York Times as Dr Doom, the economist from New
York University was warning that financial crisis was on the way in
2006, when he told economists at the IMF that the US would face a
once-in-a-lifetime housing bust, oil shock and a deep
recession.
He remains a pessimist. He predicted last week that
losses in the US financial system could hit $3.6tn before the
credit crunch ends - which, he said, means the entire US banking
system is in effect bankrupt. After last year's bail-outs and
nationalisations, he famously described George Bush, Henry Paulson
and Ben Bernanke as "a troika of Bolsheviks who turned the USA
into the United Socialist State Republic of America".
Warren Buffett, billionaire
investor
Dubbed the Sage of Omaha, Buffett had long warned about the dangers
of dodgy derivatives that no one understood and said often that
Wall Street's finest were grossly overpaid. In his annual
letter to shareholders in 2003, he compared complex derivative
contracts to hell: "Easy to enter and almost impossible to
exit." On an optimistic note, Buffett wrote in October that he
had begun buying shares on the US stockmarket again, suggesting the
worst of the credit crunch might be over. Now is a great time to
"buy a slice of America's future at a marked-down
price", he said.
George Soros, speculator
The billionaire financier, philanthropist and backer of the
Democrats told an audience in Singapore in January 2006 that
stockmarkets were at their peak, and that the US and global
economies should brace themselves for a recession and a possible
"hard landing". He also warned of "a gigantic real
estate bubble" inflated by reckless lenders, encouraging
homeowners to remortgage and offering interest-only deals. Earlier
this year Soros described a 25-year "super bubble" that
is bursting, blaming unfathomable financial instruments,
deregulation and globalisation. He has since characterised the
financial crisis as the worst since the Great Depression.
Stephen Eismann, hedge fund
manager
An analyst and fund manager who tracked the sub-prime market from
the early 1990s. "You have to understand," he says,
"I did sub-prime first. I lived with the worst first. These
guys lied to infinity. What I learned from that experience was that
Wall Street didn't give a shit what it sold."
Meredith Whitney, Oppenheimer
Securities
On 31 October 2007 the analyst forecast that Citigroup had to slash
its dividend or face bankruptcy. A day later $370bn had been wiped
off financial stocks on Wall Street. Within days the boss of
Citigroup was out and the dividend had been slashed.
Kathleen Corbet, former CEO, Standard &
Poor's
The credit-rating agencies were widely attacked for failing to warn
of the risks posed by mortgage-backed securities. Kathleen Corbet
ran the largest of the big three agencies, Standard &
Poor's, and quit in August 2007, amid a hail of criticism. The
agencies have been accused of acting as cheerleaders, assigning the
top AAA rating to collateralised debt obligations, the often
incomprehensible mortgage-backed securities that turned toxic. The
industry argues it did its best with the information available.
Corbet said her decision to leave the agency had
been "long planned" and denied that she had been put
under any pressure to quit. She kept a relatively low profile and
had been hired to run S&P in 2004 from the investment firm
Alliance Capital Management.
Investigations by the Securities and Exchange
Commission and the New York attorney general among others have
focused on whether the agencies are compromised by earning fees
from the banks that issue the debt they rate. The reputation of the
industry was savaged by a blistering report by the SEC that
contained dozens of internal emails that suggested they had
betrayed investors' trust. "Let's hope we are all
wealthy and retired by the time this house of cards falters,"
one unnamed S&P analyst wrote. In another, an S&P employee
wrote:
"It could be structured by cows and we would
rate it."